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Eagleton Poll Finds 5
to 1 Margin of Support for Veal Bill
This survey was conducted by telephone from May 14 to 21, 2002 with a scientifically selected random sample of 803 New Jersey adults. The figures in this release are based on this sample size. All surveys are subject to sampling error, which is the expected probable difference between interviewing everyone in a population versus a scientific sampling drawn from that population. The sampling error is + 3.5 percent, at a 95 percent confidence interval. Thus if 50 percent of New Jersey residents were found to think the state was in good economic condition, one would be 95 percent sure that the true figure would be between 46.5 and 53.5 percent (50 + 3.5) had all New Jersey residents been interviewed, rather than just a sample. Sampling error increases as the sample size decreases, so statements based on various population subgroups, such as separate figures reported by race or age, are subject to more error than are statements based on the total sample. Sampling error does not take into account other sources of variation inherent in public opinion studies, such as non-response, question wording or context effects. The verbatim wording of all questions asked is reproduced in this memo. The sample has been stratified based on county and the data have been weighted on age and education to insure an accurate proportional representation of the state. The questions referred to in this release are as follows. This study was conducted by the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling (“Eagleton Poll”) at Rutgers University.
| Q.1: I'd like to ask you a question about raising calves for veal here in New Jersey. A bill has been introduced in the New Jersey Legislature which would require that calves who are raised for veal be given stalls with enough space to turn around in and a diet with enough iron and fiber to maintain their health. Do you support or oppose this proposal? [PROBE: Do you (support/oppose) this strongly or mildly?] |
| | Strongly Support | Mildly Support | Mildly Oppose | Strongly Oppose | Don’t Know | Total | (n) |
| TOTAL | 47% | 25% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 99% | (803) |
| Registered Voter |
| -- Yes | 50 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 101 | (645) |
| -- No | 38 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 100 | (158) |
| Party Identification |
| -- Democrat | 47 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 99 | (271) |
| -- Independent | 47 | 27 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 99 | (302) |
| -- Republican | 50 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 100 | 182) |
| Type of Community |
| -- Major Urban Centers | 40 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 100 | (66) |
| -- Other Urban Areas | 48 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 100 | (105) |
| -- Older Towns/Suburbs | 45 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 100 | (290) |
| -- Growing Suburbs/Towns | 53 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 100 | (281) |
| -- Rural Areas | 50 | 22 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 99 | (45) |
| [If "support" in Q.1, ASK:] Some veal farmers claim that this legislation would increase their costs and lower the market value of their veal. Do you still support this proposal even if it might lower some veal farmers' earnings, are you less likely to support it, or do you now oppose the bill? |
| | Still Support | Less Likely to Support | Now Oppose | Don’t Know | Total | (n) |
| SUPPORTERS | 69% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 100% | (583) |
| By Strength of Initial Support |
| -- Strong | 80 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 100 | (388) |
| -- Mild | 49 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 100 | (195) |
| Registered Voter |
| -- Yes | 70 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 100 ( | 478) |
| -- No | 67 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 101 | (105) |
| Party Identification |
| -- Democrat | 69 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 101 | (204) |
| -- Independent | 72 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 101 | (226) |
| -- Republican | 71 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 100 | (127) |
| COMBINED RESULTS: |
| TOTAL SUPPORT FOR VEAL TREATMENT LEGISLATION AFTER CONSIDERATION OF COSTS TO PRODUCERS |
| | Same Support | Support, but weaker | Oppose | Don’t Know | Total | (n) |
| TOTAL | 50% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 100% | (803) |
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